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Red31
547426.2
491918.2
66959.9
Blue105
396518.0
741935.6
513736.1
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions54870204010012014016031105

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+10
Teleop+62
Endgame+74
Fouls+74
AutonomousBlue +10
0Leave3
1Coral scored#3
6Coral points13
6Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +52
4Coral scored#13
13Coral points47
0Processor algae#1
2Net algae#5
0Processor points6
8Net points20
8Algae points26
21Total teleop73
Reef
2L4#5
1L3#5
1L2#3
1L1 · trough#3
7Game pieces#22
BargeBlue +12
4Cage & park16
4Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +74
0Foul points0
31Total score105

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5474
#37
26.22.6
22.619.9
Auto4.6
Teleop18.9
End2.7
blue by 9.9
5137
#11
36.11.9
27.429.2
Auto7.4
Teleop24.1
End4.6
Second
4919
#28
18.22.6
17.114.5
Auto3.8
Teleop11.6
End2.8
blue by 17.4
7419
#40
35.62.0
30.632.6
Auto6.0
Teleop28.3
End1.2
Third
6695
#51
9.91.7
11.810.1
Auto4.2
Teleop5.2
End0.5
blue by 8.1
3965
#32
18.02.5
18.320.8
Auto2.8
Teleop11.2
End4.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
49%Auto oddsMissed79%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed8%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
29%Barge oddsMissed28%Barge oddsEarned