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Red126
416024.7
1058620.0
76651.0
Blue108
254342.4
298425.5
744116.3
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8577204060100120140126108

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+1Auto
+16Teleop
+18Endgame
+18Fouls
AutonomousRed +1
0Leave0
2Coral scored#2
10Coral points9
10Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +15
18Coral scored#12
64Coral points43
2Processor algae#3
6Net algae#6
12Processor points18
24Net points24
36Algae points42
100Total teleop85
Reef
7L4#5
4L3#4
5L2#3
4L1 · trough#2
28Game pieces#23
BargeRed +2
16Cage & park14
16Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +18
0Foul points0
126Total score108

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
766
#15
51.02.5
40.843.3
Auto6.0
Teleop38.8
End6.2
red by 8.6
2543
#25
42.41.9
31.333.2
Auto5.8
Teleop27.9
End8.7
Second
24.73.3
13.516.8
Auto3.8
Teleop16.7
End4.2
blue by 0.9
2984
#26
25.52.6
18.521.1
Auto5.4
Teleop18.1
End2.0
Third
20.01.9
20.022.0
Auto4.0
Teleop14.2
End1.9
red by 3.7
7441
#42
16.32.6
17.620.2
Auto2.7
Teleop11.2
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
19%Auto oddsMissed54%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
6%Coral oddsEarned4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
32%Barge oddsEarned61%Barge oddsEarned