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Red84
364718.8
210246.3
Blue117
441939.4
741935.6
76651.0
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions861195010015020084117

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
Teleop+39
Endgame+29
Fouls+33
AutonomousRed +7
9Leave3
1Coral scored#1
4Coral points3
13Total auto6
TeleoperatedBlue +46
8Coral scored#19
29Coral points69
2Processor algae#3
4Net algae#4
12Processor points18
16Net points16
28Algae points34
57Total teleop103
Reef
3L4#6
2L3#8
2L2#3
2L1 · trough#3
15Game pieces#27
BargeRed +10
14Cage & park4
14Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +33
0Foul points4
84Total score117

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2102
#24
46.30.1
38.538.6
Auto10.7
Teleop29.1
End6.5
blue by 4.8
766
#15
51.00.5
43.343.8
Auto6.0
Teleop38.8
End6.2
Second
3647
#23
18.80.1
24.724.8
Auto5.1
Teleop9.6
End4.1
blue by 20.6
4419
#12
39.40.8
29.730.6
Auto4.2
Teleop32.0
End3.3
Third
9.40.2
19.419.5
Auto1.8
Teleop5.4
End2.3
blue by 26.2
7419
#40
35.60.6
32.633.2
Auto6.0
Teleop28.3
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
65%Auto oddsEarned58%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed10%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
50%Barge oddsEarned51%Barge oddsMissed