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Red47
502529.8
688515.6
265817.3
Blue77
973014.5
547426.2
811933.9
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions618120401001201404777

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+1
Teleop+44
Endgame+32
Fouls+30
AutonomousBlue +1
3Leave6
1Coral scored#1
6Coral points4
9Total auto10
TeleoperatedBlue +43
4Coral scored#10
16Coral points37
1Processor algae#2
0Net algae#4
6Processor points12
0Net points16
6Algae points28
22Total teleop65
Reef
1L4#5
2L3#3
1L2#2
1L1 · trough#1
6Game pieces#17
BargeRed +12
14Cage & park2
14Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +30
2Foul points0
47Total score77

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5025
#35
29.80.7
20.820.1
Auto6.7
Teleop17.5
End5.6
blue by 4.2
8119
#18
33.90.7
32.533.2
Auto3.9
Teleop27.9
End2.1
Second
2658
#30
17.30.7
16.115.5
Auto2.6
Teleop11.7
End3.0
blue by 8.9
5474
#37
26.21.2
19.921.1
Auto4.6
Teleop18.9
End2.7
Third
6885
#36
15.60.7
16.916.2
Auto5.5
Teleop8.6
End1.5
red by 1.1
9730
#47
14.51.2
14.215.4
Auto4.5
Teleop9.3
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
37%Auto oddsMissed42%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
9%Coral oddsMissed8%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
10%Barge oddsEarned26%Barge oddsMissed