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Red54
887019.6
162215.6
81226.4
Blue117
651517.2
473863.6
491918.2
3%Model gave it97%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions43113010015054117

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+11
Teleop+67
Endgame+59
Fouls+63
AutonomousBlue +11
0Leave3
3Coral scored#5
15Coral points23
15Total auto26
TeleoperatedBlue +56
4Coral scored#14
15Coral points49
1Processor algae#2
1Net algae#5
6Processor points12
4Net points20
10Algae points32
25Total teleop81
Reef
4L4#5
1L3#7
1L2#4
1L1 · trough#3
9Game pieces#26
BargeRed +8
14Cage & park6
14Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +63
0Foul points4
54Total score117

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
812
#21
26.40.1
16.616.5
Auto2.9
Teleop16.4
End7.0
blue by 37.3
63.60.7
56.957.6
Auto19.6
Teleop40.5
End3.6
Second
8870
#31
19.60.1
16.015.9
Auto6.9
Teleop9.0
End3.6
red by 1.4
4919
#28
18.21.0
14.515.5
Auto3.8
Teleop11.6
End2.8
Third
1622
#20
15.60.1
11.111.0
Auto4.4
Teleop9.1
End2.0
blue by 1.6
6515
#41
17.21.0
21.422.4
Auto3.1
Teleop9.7
End4.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
19%Auto oddsEarned76%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed10%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
47%Barge oddsEarned37%Barge oddsMissed