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Red118
157220.3
513736.1
699558.5
Blue62
888814.0
197213.0
889135.1
97%Model gave it3%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12757010015020011862

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+27Auto
+72Teleop
+60Endgame
+56Fouls
AutonomousRed +27
6Leave3
5Coral scored#0
24Coral points0
30Total auto3
TeleoperatedRed +45
13Coral scored#8
46Coral points27
2Processor algae#1
6Net algae#1
12Processor points6
24Net points4
36Algae points10
82Total teleop37
Reef
5L4#2
8L3#2
3L2#2
2L1 · trough#2
26Game pieces#10
BargeBlue +12
4Cage & park16
4Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +56
2Foul points6
118Total score62

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
58.50.3
57.857.6
Auto17.0
Teleop33.1
End8.4
red by 23.4
8891
#22
35.11.0
21.920.9
Auto5.0
Teleop26.1
End4.0
Second
5137
#11
36.10.3
29.229.0
Auto7.4
Teleop24.1
End4.6
red by 22.1
8888
#27
14.01.5
21.319.8
Auto2.3
Teleop8.3
End3.4
Third
1572
#16
20.30.4
21.621.1
Auto6.9
Teleop11.6
End1.9
red by 7.3
1972
#45
13.01.5
14.713.3
Auto2.4
Teleop7.9
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
85%Auto oddsEarned21%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
12%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
69%Barge oddsMissed39%Barge oddsEarned