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Red41
374925.0
957313.3
498417.4
Blue37
298425.5
271040.3
334113.8
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions518102040601001201404137

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+6Teleop
+4Endgame
+4Fouls
Autonomouslevel
0Leave6
1Coral scored#0
6Coral points0
6Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +6
6Coral scored#5
23Coral points19
0Processor algae#1
2Net algae#0
0Processor points6
8Net points0
8Algae points6
31Total teleop25
Reef
2L4#1
1L3#2
2L2#1
2L1 · trough#1
9Game pieces#6
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +4
0Foul points0
41Total score37

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25.00.6
15.715.1
Auto5.8
Teleop15.1
End4.1
blue by 15.3
2710
#13
40.32.5
30.427.9
Auto8.5
Teleop25.5
End6.3
Second
4984
#39
17.40.5
16.916.4
Auto1.9
Teleop14.2
End1.3
blue by 8.1
2984
#26
25.53.8
21.117.3
Auto5.4
Teleop18.1
End2.0
Third
9573
#44
13.30.8
15.614.8
Auto3.6
Teleop9.2
End0.4
blue by 0.5
3341
#50
13.83.8
19.515.7
Auto4.0
Teleop5.6
End4.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
22%Auto oddsMissed43%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
35%Barge oddsMissed66%Barge oddsMissed