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Red80
688515.6
945237.2
396518.0
Blue81
502529.8
744116.3
248546.2
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions818565707590951001058081

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
+13Teleop
+11Endgame
Fouls+1
AutonomousBlue +4
3Leave9
2Coral scored#1
9Coral points7
12Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +17
15Coral scored#9
54Coral points33
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#2
6Processor points6
4Net points8
10Algae points14
64Total teleop47
Reef
7L4#3
6L3#3
3L2#2
1L1 · trough#2
19Game pieces#13
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +1
0Foul points12
80Total score81

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9452
#19
37.20.3
39.238.8
Auto5.9
Teleop26.9
End4.4
blue by 9.0
2485
#10
46.21.3
38.236.8
Auto11.0
Teleop31.5
End3.7
Second
3965
#32
18.00.5
20.820.3
Auto2.8
Teleop11.2
End4.0
blue by 11.7
5025
#35
29.81.2
20.118.9
Auto6.7
Teleop17.5
End5.6
Third
6885
#36
15.60.3
16.215.9
Auto5.5
Teleop8.6
End1.5
blue by 0.8
7441
#42
16.32.0
20.218.2
Auto2.7
Teleop11.2
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
60%Auto oddsEarned66%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
9%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
43%Barge oddsMissed26%Barge oddsMissed