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Red99
551428.2
1039218.9
802045.2
Blue54
957313.3
1058620.0
741935.6
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions81740501001502009954

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
+31Teleop
+43Endgame
+45Fouls
AutonomousRed +3
6Leave6
1Coral scored#1
6Coral points3
12Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +28
14Coral scored#9
51Coral points31
2Processor algae#0
2Net algae#3
12Processor points0
8Net points12
20Algae points12
71Total teleop43
Reef
5L4#4
4L3#2
3L2#3
3L1 · trough#1
19Game pieces#13
BargeRed +12
14Cage & park2
14Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +45
2Foul points0
99Total score54

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
45.21.6
38.540.1
Auto8.2
Teleop27.4
End9.5
red by 9.6
7419
#40
35.61.0
33.232.2
Auto6.0
Teleop28.3
End1.2
Second
5514
#17
28.21.8
21.223.0
Auto8.5
Teleop16.8
End2.9
red by 8.2
20.01.5
19.518.0
Auto4.0
Teleop14.2
End1.9
Third
18.92.7
12.815.5
Auto4.3
Teleop12.0
End2.7
red by 5.7
9573
#44
13.31.5
14.813.3
Auto3.6
Teleop9.2
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
63%Auto oddsEarned38%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed8%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
78%Barge oddsEarned31%Barge oddsMissed