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Red178
699558.5
441939.4
325569.6
Blue107
491918.2
312867.7
502529.8
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1719150150200250178107

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+71Teleop
+71Endgame
+71Fouls
Autonomouslevel
3Leave6
5Coral scored#4
23Coral points20
26Total auto26
TeleoperatedRed +71
24Coral scored#13
88Coral points45
3Processor algae#1
5Net algae#1
18Processor points6
20Net points4
38Algae points10
126Total teleop55
Reef
10L4#7
11L3#4
4L2#4
4L1 · trough#2
37Game pieces#19
Bargelevel
26Cage & park26
26Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +71
0Foul points0
178Total score107

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
69.61.5
64.566.0
Auto17.1
Teleop43.1
End9.3
red by 1.9
67.70.8
57.858.6
Auto14.4
Teleop42.9
End10.4
Second
58.51.5
57.659.1
Auto17.0
Teleop33.1
End8.4
red by 28.7
5025
#35
29.80.8
18.919.7
Auto6.7
Teleop17.5
End5.6
Third
4419
#12
39.42.5
30.633.1
Auto4.2
Teleop32.0
End3.3
red by 21.3
4919
#28
18.21.3
15.516.9
Auto3.8
Teleop11.6
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
90%Auto oddsEarned76%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
27%Coral oddsEarned14%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
80%Barge oddsEarned66%Barge oddsEarned