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Red126
416024.7
153862.7
973014.5
Blue75
81226.4
889135.1
396518.0
91%Model gave it9%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1056205015012675

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+17Auto
+49Teleop
+51Endgame
+51Fouls
AutonomousRed +17
0Leave9
6Coral scored#1
30Coral points4
30Total auto13
TeleoperatedRed +32
16Coral scored#11
56Coral points38
2Processor algae#1
3Net algae#1
12Processor points6
12Net points4
24Algae points10
80Total teleop48
Reef
6L4#5
7L3#4
5L2#2
4L1 · trough#1
27Game pieces#14
BargeRed +2
16Cage & park14
16Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +51
0Foul points0
126Total score75

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
62.71.9
53.255.1
Auto14.3
Teleop43.5
End4.9
red by 27.6
8891
#22
35.10.4
20.921.3
Auto5.0
Teleop26.1
End4.0
Second
24.72.1
17.920.0
Auto3.8
Teleop16.7
End4.2
blue by 1.7
812
#21
26.40.7
16.517.2
Auto2.9
Teleop16.4
End7.0
Third
9730
#47
14.53.2
17.320.5
Auto4.5
Teleop9.3
End0.6
blue by 3.6
3965
#32
18.00.7
20.321.0
Auto2.8
Teleop11.2
End4.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
43%Auto oddsEarned36%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
19%Coral oddsEarned5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
21%Barge oddsEarned56%Barge oddsEarned