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Red27
283922.6
370416.4
Blue154
908453.6
887019.6
945237.2
4%Model gave it96%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions58113010015020027154

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+30
Teleop+75
Endgame+85
Fouls+127
AutonomousBlue +30
3Leave0
0Coral scored#7
0Coral points33
3Total auto33
TeleoperatedBlue +45
3Coral scored#13
12Coral points47
0Processor algae#1
2Net algae#3
0Processor points6
8Net points12
8Algae points18
20Total teleop65
Reef
1L4#4
1L3#8
1L2#4
0L1 · trough#4
5Game pieces#24
BargeBlue +10
4Cage & park14
4Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +127
0Foul points42
27Total score154

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2839
#48
22.62.1
19.217.1
Auto3.3
Teleop19.6
End-0.2
blue by 30.9
53.61.2
41.042.2
Auto17.6
Teleop33.9
End2.1
Second
3704
#38
16.43.4
19.415.9
Auto4.2
Teleop10.1
End2.1
blue by 20.8
9452
#19
37.21.1
38.839.9
Auto5.9
Teleop26.9
End4.4
Third
9.43.4
19.516.1
Auto1.8
Teleop5.4
End2.3
blue by 10.2
8870
#31
19.61.8
15.917.7
Auto6.9
Teleop9.0
End3.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
50%Auto oddsMissed91%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed9%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
14%Barge oddsMissed51%Barge oddsEarned