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Red144
248546.2
427639.2
699558.5
Blue70
282715.8
607224.1
744116.3
100%Model gave it0%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14952010020014470

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+27Auto
+60Teleop
+80Endgame
+74Fouls
AutonomousRed +27
6Leave9
6Coral scored#0
30Coral points0
36Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +33
17Coral scored#11
60Coral points39
2Processor algae#0
3Net algae#3
12Processor points0
12Net points12
24Algae points12
84Total teleop51
Reef
7L4#5
7L3#2
6L2#3
3L1 · trough#1
28Game pieces#14
BargeRed +20
24Cage & park4
24Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +74
0Foul points6
144Total score70

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
58.50.3
59.159.4
Auto17.0
Teleop33.1
End8.4
red by 34.4
6072
#43
24.10.5
18.818.3
Auto3.9
Teleop19.0
End1.1
Second
2485
#10
46.20.3
36.837.2
Auto11.0
Teleop31.5
End3.7
red by 29.9
7441
#42
16.30.5
13.012.5
Auto2.7
Teleop11.2
End2.3
Third
4276
#14
39.20.3
28.729.1
Auto7.9
Teleop25.4
End5.8
red by 23.3
2827
#29
15.80.5
22.722.2
Auto4.4
Teleop10.1
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
96%Auto oddsEarned37%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
15%Coral oddsEarned6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
45%Barge oddsEarned22%Barge oddsMissed