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Red128
254342.4
802045.2
741935.6
Blue160
473863.6
271040.3
441939.4
34%Model gave it66%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1151256080100140160180128160

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+11
Teleop+40
Endgame+30
Fouls+32
AutonomousBlue +11
3Leave3
3Coral scored#5
16Coral points27
19Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +29
20Coral scored#19
71Coral points70
1Processor algae#2
3Net algae#9
6Processor points12
12Net points36
18Algae points48
89Total teleop118
Reef
8L4#10
6L3#5
4L2#5
5L1 · trough#4
27Game pieces#35
BargeRed +10
14Cage & park4
14Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +32
6Foul points8
128Total score160

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
45.20.3
40.139.8
Auto8.2
Teleop27.4
End9.5
blue by 18.5
63.61.1
54.455.5
Auto19.6
Teleop40.5
End3.6
Second
2543
#25
42.40.3
34.434.0
Auto5.8
Teleop27.9
End8.7
red by 2.2
2710
#13
40.31.1
28.829.9
Auto8.5
Teleop25.5
End6.3
Third
7419
#40
35.60.3
32.231.9
Auto6.0
Teleop28.3
End1.2
blue by 3.9
4419
#12
39.41.9
33.134.9
Auto4.2
Teleop32.0
End3.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
75%Auto oddsEarned87%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed13%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
95%Barge oddsEarned59%Barge oddsMissed