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Red69
370416.4
889135.1
607224.1
Blue28
66959.9
162215.6
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions714602060801001201401606928

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
+33Teleop
+37Endgame
+41Fouls
AutonomousBlue +7
3Leave9
1Coral scored#1
3Coral points4
6Total auto13
TeleoperatedRed +40
8Coral scored#4
27Coral points13
3Processor algae#0
2Net algae#0
18Processor points0
8Net points0
26Algae points0
53Total teleop13
Reef
2L4#2
3L3#1
2L2#1
2L1 · trough#1
14Game pieces#5
BargeRed +4
6Cage & park2
6Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +41
4Foul points0
69Total score28

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8891
#22
35.10.2
21.321.5
Auto5.0
Teleop26.1
End4.0
red by 19.5
1622
#20
15.61.0
12.010.9
Auto4.4
Teleop9.1
End2.0
Second
6072
#43
24.10.4
18.318.7
Auto3.9
Teleop19.0
End1.1
red by 14.2
6695
#51
9.91.0
9.98.9
Auto4.2
Teleop5.2
End0.5
Third
3704
#38
16.40.4
15.916.3
Auto4.2
Teleop10.1
End2.1
red by 7.0
9.41.7
16.114.4
Auto1.8
Teleop5.4
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
23%Auto oddsMissed47%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed2%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
27%Barge oddsMissed40%Barge oddsMissed