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Red112
374925.0
502529.8
210246.3
Blue140
427639.2
908453.6
491918.2
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions80984060120140160180112140

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+9
Teleop+38
Endgame+28
Fouls+28
AutonomousBlue +9
3Leave0
5Coral scored#7
23Coral points35
26Total auto35
TeleoperatedBlue +29
9Coral scored#20
34Coral points71
2Processor algae#2
4Net algae#2
12Processor points12
16Net points8
28Algae points20
62Total teleop91
Reef
3L4#9
6L3#7
3L2#6
2L1 · trough#5
20Game pieces#31
BargeRed +10
24Cage & park14
24Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +28
0Foul points0
112Total score140

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2102
#24
46.32.4
39.642.0
Auto10.7
Teleop29.1
End6.5
blue by 7.3
53.63.5
42.245.7
Auto17.6
Teleop33.9
End2.1
Second
5025
#35
29.82.4
19.722.2
Auto6.7
Teleop17.5
End5.6
blue by 9.4
4276
#14
39.23.5
29.132.5
Auto7.9
Teleop25.4
End5.8
Third
25.02.4
16.518.9
Auto5.8
Teleop15.1
End4.1
red by 6.8
4919
#28
18.25.8
16.922.6
Auto3.8
Teleop11.6
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
62%Auto oddsEarned94%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
12%Coral oddsMissed19%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
55%Barge oddsEarned23%Barge oddsEarned