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Red37
298425.5
265817.3
887019.6
Blue93
396518.0
325569.6
157220.3
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5012901001502003793

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+11
Teleop+38
Endgame+48
Fouls+56
AutonomousBlue +11
0Leave9
2Coral scored#2
9Coral points11
9Total auto20
TeleoperatedBlue +27
4Coral scored#9
14Coral points33
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#3
6Processor points6
4Net points12
10Algae points18
24Total teleop51
Reef
3L4#5
1L3#3
1L2#2
1L1 · trough#1
8Game pieces#15
BargeBlue +10
4Cage & park14
4Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +56
0Foul points8
37Total score93

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2984
#26
25.51.9
15.413.4
Auto5.4
Teleop18.1
End2.0
blue by 44.0
69.61.6
66.064.4
Auto17.1
Teleop43.1
End9.3
Second
8870
#31
19.61.9
17.715.7
Auto6.9
Teleop9.0
End3.6
blue by 0.7
1572
#16
20.32.7
15.913.3
Auto6.9
Teleop11.6
End1.9
Third
2658
#30
17.31.2
16.215.0
Auto2.6
Teleop11.7
End3.0
blue by 0.7
3965
#32
18.02.7
21.018.3
Auto2.8
Teleop11.2
End4.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
15%Auto oddsMissed78%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed15%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
41%Barge oddsMissed52%Barge oddsEarned