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Red44
334113.8
973014.5
197213.0
Blue95
441939.4
416024.7
282715.8
3%Model gave it97%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions439702060801201401604495

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
Teleop+33
Endgame+33
Fouls+51
AutonomousBlue +3
6Leave6
0Coral scored#1
0Coral points3
6Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +30
5Coral scored#8
18Coral points30
0Processor algae#1
1Net algae#4
0Processor points6
4Net points16
4Algae points22
22Total teleop52
Reef
2L4#3
2L3#3
1L2#2
0L1 · trough#1
6Game pieces#14
Bargelevel
16Cage & park16
16Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +51
0Foul points18
44Total score95

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9730
#47
14.50.1
17.617.7
Auto4.5
Teleop9.3
End0.6
blue by 25.0
4419
#12
39.40.2
34.934.7
Auto4.2
Teleop32.0
End3.3
Second
3341
#50
13.80.1
10.410.5
Auto4.0
Teleop5.6
End4.2
blue by 10.9
24.70.1
22.021.8
Auto3.8
Teleop16.7
End4.2
Third
1972
#45
13.00.1
14.815.0
Auto2.4
Teleop7.9
End2.7
blue by 2.8
2827
#29
15.80.2
22.222.0
Auto4.4
Teleop10.1
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
18%Auto oddsMissed33%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
8%Coral oddsMissed17%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
33%Barge oddsEarned31%Barge oddsEarned