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Red22
888814.0
699558.5
Blue69
498417.4
473863.6
551428.2
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions102102306080901002269

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+27
Teleop+51
Endgame+47
Fouls+47
AutonomousBlue +27
6Leave9
0Coral scored#5
0Coral points24
6Total auto33
TeleoperatedBlue +24
1Coral scored#5
2Coral points18
0Processor algae#0
0Net algae#2
0Processor points0
0Net points8
0Algae points8
2Total teleop26
Reef
0L4#4
1L3#3
0L2#2
0L1 · trough#1
1Game pieces#12
BargeRed +4
14Cage & park10
14Total endgame10
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +47
0Foul points0
22Total score69

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
58.54.9
59.454.5
Auto17.0
Teleop33.1
End8.4
blue by 5.2
63.61.9
55.553.7
Auto19.6
Teleop40.5
End3.6
Second
8888
#27
14.08.1
21.413.2
Auto2.3
Teleop8.3
End3.4
blue by 14.2
5514
#17
28.21.9
24.322.4
Auto8.5
Teleop16.8
End2.9
Third
9.48.1
14.46.3
Auto1.8
Teleop5.4
End2.3
blue by 8.0
4984
#39
17.41.9
17.115.3
Auto1.9
Teleop14.2
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
73%Auto oddsMissed80%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
13%Coral oddsMissed17%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
84%Barge oddsEarned42%Barge oddsMissed