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Red124
334113.8
210246.3
908453.6
Blue117
607224.1
513736.1
254342.4
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions119107050150200250300350400124117

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+35Auto
+7Teleop
+7Endgame
+7Fouls
AutonomousRed +35
9Leave3
8Coral scored#3
42Coral points13
51Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +28
11Coral scored#15
41Coral points53
2Processor algae#2
1Net algae#5
12Processor points12
4Net points20
16Algae points32
57Total teleop85
Reef
8L4#8
6L3#5
3L2#4
2L1 · trough#1
22Game pieces#25
Bargelevel
16Cage & park16
16Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +7
0Foul points0
124Total score117

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
53.60.4
49.650.0
Auto17.6
Teleop33.9
End2.1
red by 11.2
2543
#25
42.40.6
37.137.6
Auto5.8
Teleop27.9
End8.7
Second
2102
#24
46.30.4
44.244.7
Auto10.7
Teleop29.1
End6.5
red by 10.1
5137
#11
36.10.6
31.031.5
Auto7.4
Teleop24.1
End4.6
Third
3341
#50
13.80.7
10.511.3
Auto4.0
Teleop5.6
End4.2
blue by 10.3
6072
#43
24.11.0
25.226.2
Auto3.9
Teleop19.0
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
81%Auto oddsEarned69%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
10%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
67%Barge oddsEarned64%Barge oddsEarned