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Red83
802045.2
744116.3
498417.4
Blue79
887019.6
502529.8
547426.2
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8367020401001201401608379

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+2
+10Teleop
+10Endgame
+4Fouls
AutonomousBlue +2
6Leave9
2Coral scored#2
10Coral points9
16Total auto18
TeleoperatedRed +12
11Coral scored#8
39Coral points29
1Processor algae#0
2Net algae#3
6Processor points0
8Net points12
14Algae points12
53Total teleop41
Reef
6L4#4
3L3#2
2L2#2
2L1 · trough#2
16Game pieces#13
Bargelevel
14Cage & park14
14Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +4
0Foul points6
83Total score79

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
45.20.7
42.843.5
Auto8.2
Teleop27.4
End9.5
red by 15.4
5025
#35
29.80.6
22.723.3
Auto6.7
Teleop17.5
End5.6
Second
4984
#39
17.40.7
15.315.9
Auto1.9
Teleop14.2
End1.3
blue by 8.8
5474
#37
26.21.0
25.226.3
Auto4.6
Teleop18.9
End2.7
Third
7441
#42
16.31.1
14.715.9
Auto2.7
Teleop11.2
End2.3
blue by 3.3
8870
#31
19.61.0
15.916.9
Auto6.9
Teleop9.0
End3.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
36%Auto oddsEarned64%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed9%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
75%Barge oddsEarned57%Barge oddsEarned