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Red62
957313.3
157220.3
282715.8
Blue144
312867.7
374925.0
81226.4
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions48121010015020062144

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
Teleop+46
Endgame+68
Fouls+82
AutonomousRed +3
3Leave3
2Coral scored#1
9Coral points6
12Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +49
9Coral scored#18
34Coral points63
1Processor algae#3
2Net algae#4
6Processor points18
8Net points16
14Algae points34
48Total teleop97
Reef
4L4#5
2L3#8
3L2#4
2L1 · trough#2
14Game pieces#26
BargeBlue +22
2Cage & park24
2Total endgame24
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +82
0Foul points14
62Total score144

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1572
#16
20.30.3
15.715.4
Auto6.9
Teleop11.6
End1.9
blue by 47.4
67.71.1
63.864.9
Auto14.4
Teleop42.9
End10.4
Second
2827
#29
15.80.3
22.021.7
Auto4.4
Teleop10.1
End1.4
blue by 10.5
812
#21
26.41.9
13.615.5
Auto2.9
Teleop16.4
End7.0
Third
9573
#44
13.30.3
10.510.2
Auto3.6
Teleop9.2
End0.4
blue by 11.7
25.01.1
18.319.5
Auto5.8
Teleop15.1
End4.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
32%Auto oddsEarned84%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed9%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
23%Barge oddsMissed95%Barge oddsEarned