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Red135
889135.1
248546.2
887019.6
Blue91
334113.8
76651.0
502529.8
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9093608010012014013591

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
+42Teleop
+44Endgame
+44Fouls
AutonomousRed +14
6Leave9
5Coral scored#2
27Coral points10
33Total auto19
TeleoperatedRed +28
18Coral scored#14
64Coral points50
2Processor algae#1
3Net algae#1
12Processor points6
12Net points4
24Algae points10
88Total teleop60
Reef
8L4#7
6L3#4
5L2#3
4L1 · trough#2
28Game pieces#18
BargeRed +2
14Cage & park12
14Total endgame12
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +44
0Foul points0
135Total score91

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2485
#10
46.23.5
38.341.8
Auto11.0
Teleop31.5
End3.7
blue by 4.8
766
#15
51.00.4
49.950.3
Auto6.0
Teleop38.8
End6.2
Second
8891
#22
35.13.5
27.531.0
Auto5.0
Teleop26.1
End4.0
red by 5.3
5025
#35
29.80.4
23.323.7
Auto6.7
Teleop17.5
End5.6
Third
8870
#31
19.65.8
16.922.7
Auto6.9
Teleop9.0
End3.6
red by 5.8
3341
#50
13.80.7
11.312.0
Auto4.0
Teleop5.6
End4.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
79%Auto oddsEarned41%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed9%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
61%Barge oddsEarned60%Barge oddsMissed