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Red124
744116.3
325569.6
81226.4
Blue140
441939.4
908453.6
298425.5
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11512680100140160180124140

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+38
Endgame+16
Fouls+16
AutonomousBlue +7
9Leave6
1Coral scored#3
7Coral points17
16Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +31
17Coral scored#23
60Coral points81
1Processor algae#2
4Net algae#5
6Processor points12
16Net points20
22Algae points32
82Total teleop113
Reef
7L4#9
4L3#8
5L2#6
2L1 · trough#3
23Game pieces#33
BargeRed +22
26Cage & park4
26Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +16
0Foul points0
124Total score140

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
69.61.4
65.466.8
Auto17.1
Teleop43.1
End9.3
red by 16.0
53.61.9
50.051.9
Auto17.6
Teleop33.9
End2.1
Second
812
#21
26.42.4
15.517.9
Auto2.9
Teleop16.4
End7.0
blue by 13.1
4419
#12
39.43.1
35.538.6
Auto4.2
Teleop32.0
End3.3
Third
7441
#42
16.32.4
15.918.2
Auto2.7
Teleop11.2
End2.3
blue by 9.2
2984
#26
25.53.1
21.124.3
Auto5.4
Teleop18.1
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
77%Auto oddsEarned78%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
22%Coral oddsMissed18%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
81%Barge oddsEarned34%Barge oddsMissed