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Red69
741935.6
197213.0
283922.6
Blue103
427639.2
811933.9
162215.6
17%Model gave it83%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions76102406012014016069103

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+1
Teleop+12
Endgame+28
Fouls+34
AutonomousBlue +1
0Leave9
2Coral scored#0
9Coral points1
9Total auto10
TeleoperatedBlue +11
12Coral scored#13
42Coral points47
1Processor algae#2
3Net algae#3
6Processor points12
12Net points12
18Algae points24
60Total teleop71
Reef
8L4#6
2L3#3
2L2#3
2L1 · trough#1
18Game pieces#18
BargeBlue +16
0Cage & park16
0Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +34
0Foul points6
69Total score103

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7419
#40
35.60.3
32.532.8
Auto6.0
Teleop28.3
End1.2
blue by 3.6
4276
#14
39.20.9
37.138.1
Auto7.9
Teleop25.4
End5.8
Second
2839
#48
22.60.3
20.020.3
Auto3.3
Teleop19.6
End-0.2
blue by 11.3
8119
#18
33.90.9
32.133.0
Auto3.9
Teleop27.9
End2.1
Third
1972
#45
13.00.5
12.212.7
Auto2.4
Teleop7.9
End2.7
blue by 2.6
1622
#20
15.60.9
13.714.6
Auto4.4
Teleop9.1
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
28%Auto oddsMissed85%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
11%Coral oddsMissed12%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
25%Barge oddsMissed34%Barge oddsEarned