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Red93
957313.3
254342.4
Blue123
491918.2
699558.5
688515.6
9%Model gave it91%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5811105010015093123

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+18
Teleop+12
Endgame+12
Fouls+30
AutonomousBlue +18
0Leave3
2Coral scored#5
12Coral points27
12Total auto30
TeleoperatedRed +6
11Coral scored#10
39Coral points37
1Processor algae#1
4Net algae#3
6Processor points6
16Net points12
22Algae points18
61Total teleop55
Reef
4L4#7
4L3#3
4L2#3
1L1 · trough#2
18Game pieces#19
Bargelevel
14Cage & park14
14Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +30
6Foul points24
93Total score123

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2543
#25
42.41.4
37.639.0
Auto5.8
Teleop27.9
End8.7
blue by 16.1
58.50.2
54.654.4
Auto17.0
Teleop33.1
End8.4
Second
9573
#44
13.32.3
10.212.5
Auto3.6
Teleop9.2
End0.4
blue by 4.9
4919
#28
18.20.4
20.219.7
Auto3.8
Teleop11.6
End2.8
Third
9.42.3
6.79.0
Auto1.8
Teleop5.4
End2.3
blue by 6.2
6885
#36
15.60.2
14.013.8
Auto5.5
Teleop8.6
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
52%Auto oddsEarned56%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed20%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
53%Barge oddsEarned62%Barge oddsEarned