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Red33
265817.3
282715.8
66959.9
Blue93
364718.8
888814.0
153862.7
3%Model gave it97%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4710901001503393

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+48
Endgame+58
Fouls+60
AutonomousBlue +7
9Leave0
0Coral scored#3
0Coral points16
9Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +41
4Coral scored#11
14Coral points41
1Processor algae#2
0Net algae#2
6Processor points12
0Net points8
6Algae points20
20Total teleop61
Reef
1L4#5
1L3#4
1L2#3
1L1 · trough#2
5Game pieces#18
BargeBlue +10
4Cage & park14
4Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +60
0Foul points2
33Total score93

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2658
#30
17.30.9
16.715.8
Auto2.6
Teleop11.7
End3.0
blue by 45.3
62.70.0
60.360.3
Auto14.3
Teleop43.5
End4.9
Second
2827
#29
15.81.5
21.720.1
Auto4.4
Teleop10.1
End1.4
blue by 3.0
3647
#23
18.80.0
18.618.6
Auto5.1
Teleop9.6
End4.1
Third
6695
#51
9.90.9
8.57.6
Auto4.2
Teleop5.2
End0.5
blue by 4.1
8888
#27
14.00.0
12.412.4
Auto2.3
Teleop8.3
End3.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
46%Auto oddsMissed58%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed19%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
22%Barge oddsMissed64%Barge oddsEarned