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Red145
374925.0
473863.6
416024.7
Blue94
1039218.9
547426.2
945237.2
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions112755010015014594

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+18Auto
+59Teleop
+49Endgame
+51Fouls
AutonomousRed +18
0Leave9
7Coral scored#1
33Coral points6
33Total auto15
TeleoperatedRed +41
20Coral scored#15
72Coral points55
3Processor algae#1
4Net algae#1
18Processor points6
16Net points4
34Algae points10
106Total teleop65
Reef
7L4#5
9L3#5
6L2#3
5L1 · trough#3
34Game pieces#18
BargeBlue +10
4Cage & park14
4Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +51
2Foul points0
145Total score94

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
63.62.2
56.959.1
Auto19.6
Teleop40.5
End3.6
red by 26.5
9452
#19
37.20.5
34.735.1
Auto5.9
Teleop26.9
End4.4
Second
25.02.2
19.521.7
Auto5.8
Teleop15.1
End4.1
blue by 1.2
5474
#37
26.20.8
26.327.0
Auto4.6
Teleop18.9
End2.7
Third
24.72.2
22.724.9
Auto3.8
Teleop16.7
End4.2
red by 5.7
18.90.8
15.015.7
Auto4.3
Teleop12.0
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
62%Auto oddsEarned71%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
26%Coral oddsEarned10%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
71%Barge oddsMissed59%Barge oddsEarned