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Red78
889135.1
416024.7
651517.2
Blue103
473863.6
364718.8
957313.3
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7310505015078103

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+21
Teleop+29
Endgame+19
Fouls+25
AutonomousBlue +21
3Leave6
1Coral scored#5
6Coral points24
9Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +8
11Coral scored#15
41Coral points53
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#1
6Processor points6
8Net points4
14Algae points10
55Total teleop63
Reef
3L4#10
4L3#3
3L2#4
2L1 · trough#3
15Game pieces#22
BargeRed +10
14Cage & park4
14Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +25
0Foul points6
78Total score103

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8891
#22
35.10.3
31.030.7
Auto5.0
Teleop26.1
End4.0
blue by 28.6
63.60.3
59.158.8
Auto19.6
Teleop40.5
End3.6
Second
24.70.3
24.924.5
Auto3.8
Teleop16.7
End4.2
red by 5.9
3647
#23
18.80.3
18.618.3
Auto5.1
Teleop9.6
End4.1
Third
6515
#41
17.20.5
15.715.2
Auto3.1
Teleop9.7
End4.4
red by 3.9
9573
#44
13.30.5
12.512.0
Auto3.6
Teleop9.2
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
14%Auto oddsMissed85%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
10%Coral oddsMissed13%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
55%Barge oddsEarned32%Barge oddsMissed