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Red119
157220.3
1039218.9
908453.6
Blue94
688515.6
66959.9
248546.2
81%Model gave it19%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions96682040608012014016018011994

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+10Auto
+25Teleop
+25Endgame
+25Fouls
AutonomousRed +10
9Leave6
5Coral scored#3
24Coral points17
33Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +15
18Coral scored#15
64Coral points53
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#2
6Processor points6
12Net points8
18Algae points14
82Total teleop67
Reef
5L4#8
10L3#4
6L2#3
2L1 · trough#3
27Game pieces#21
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +25
0Foul points0
119Total score94

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
53.61.5
51.953.4
Auto17.6
Teleop33.9
End2.1
red by 7.4
2485
#10
46.21.1
41.842.9
Auto11.0
Teleop31.5
End3.7
Second
1572
#16
20.32.3
17.519.8
Auto6.9
Teleop11.6
End1.9
red by 4.7
6885
#36
15.61.1
13.814.9
Auto5.5
Teleop8.6
End1.5
Third
18.92.3
15.718.0
Auto4.3
Teleop12.0
End2.7
red by 9.1
6695
#51
9.91.1
7.68.7
Auto4.2
Teleop5.2
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
85%Auto oddsEarned85%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
8%Coral oddsEarned3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
51%Barge oddsMissed18%Barge oddsMissed