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Red97
197213.0
153862.7
282715.8
Blue61
744116.3
491918.2
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1094501001509761

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
+38Teleop
+36Endgame
+36Fouls
AutonomousRed +14
9Leave0
3Coral scored#2
14Coral points9
23Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +24
11Coral scored#6
40Coral points20
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#2
6Processor points6
12Net points8
18Algae points14
58Total teleop34
Reef
6L4#3
3L3#2
3L2#2
2L1 · trough#1
18Game pieces#11
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +36
12Foul points12
97Total score61

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
62.70.9
60.359.4
Auto14.3
Teleop43.5
End4.9
red by 44.5
4919
#28
18.20.4
19.719.3
Auto3.8
Teleop11.6
End2.8
Second
2827
#29
15.81.4
20.118.8
Auto4.4
Teleop10.1
End1.4
blue by 0.5
7441
#42
16.30.4
18.217.8
Auto2.7
Teleop11.2
End2.3
Third
1972
#45
13.01.4
12.711.3
Auto2.4
Teleop7.9
End2.7
red by 3.6
9.40.4
9.08.6
Auto1.8
Teleop5.4
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
62%Auto oddsEarned44%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
33%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
47%Barge oddsMissed33%Barge oddsEarned