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Red128
888814.0
298425.5
312867.7
Blue113
547426.2
741935.6
607224.1
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions124986080140160180200128113

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
+11Teleop
+23Endgame
+15Fouls
AutonomousRed +14
3Leave0
5Coral scored#3
27Coral points16
30Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +3
15Coral scored#20
54Coral points71
2Processor algae#1
3Net algae#1
12Processor points6
12Net points4
24Algae points10
78Total teleop81
Reef
10L4#9
5L3#7
3L2#3
2L1 · trough#4
25Game pieces#25
BargeRed +12
14Cage & park2
14Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +15
6Foul points14
128Total score113

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
67.70.3
65.565.8
Auto14.4
Teleop42.9
End10.4
red by 32.1
7419
#40
35.60.2
32.832.5
Auto6.0
Teleop28.3
End1.2
Second
2984
#26
25.50.5
24.324.8
Auto5.4
Teleop18.1
End2.0
blue by 0.7
5474
#37
26.20.3
27.026.7
Auto4.6
Teleop18.9
End2.7
Third
8888
#27
14.00.5
12.412.9
Auto2.3
Teleop8.3
End3.4
blue by 10.0
6072
#43
24.10.3
25.525.2
Auto3.9
Teleop19.0
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
55%Auto oddsEarned49%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
13%Coral oddsEarned7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
87%Barge oddsEarned53%Barge oddsMissed