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Red118
498417.4
254342.4
945237.2
Blue149
162215.6
802045.2
325569.6
3%Model gave it97%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9715250200118149

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+24
Teleop+31
Endgame+31
Fouls+31
AutonomousBlue +24
3Leave3
1Coral scored#6
6Coral points30
9Total auto33
TeleoperatedBlue +7
17Coral scored#22
61Coral points80
4Processor algae#2
2Net algae#2
24Processor points12
8Net points8
32Algae points20
93Total teleop100
Reef
6L4#11
6L3#8
4L2#3
2L1 · trough#6
24Game pieces#32
Bargelevel
16Cage & park16
16Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +31
0Foul points0
118Total score149

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2543
#25
42.40.8
39.039.8
Auto5.8
Teleop27.9
End8.7
blue by 27.2
69.60.4
66.867.3
Auto17.1
Teleop43.1
End9.3
Second
9452
#19
37.20.8
35.136.0
Auto5.9
Teleop26.9
End4.4
blue by 8.0
45.20.4
44.144.6
Auto8.2
Teleop27.4
End9.5
Third
4984
#39
17.40.8
14.715.5
Auto1.9
Teleop14.2
End1.3
red by 1.8
1622
#20
15.60.4
14.615.1
Auto4.4
Teleop9.1
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
71%Auto oddsMissed91%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed12%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
84%Barge oddsEarned97%Barge oddsEarned