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Red200
325569.6
153862.7
811933.9
Blue121
473863.6
498417.4
312867.7
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions175158120140200220240200121

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+10Auto
+65Teleop
+79Endgame
+79Fouls
AutonomousRed +10
6Leave3
10Coral scored#8
48Coral points41
54Total auto44
TeleoperatedRed +55
28Coral scored#13
100Coral points47
2Processor algae#3
5Net algae#3
12Processor points18
20Net points12
32Algae points30
132Total teleop77
Reef
13L4#8
11L3#6
8L2#5
6L1 · trough#2
45Game pieces#27
BargeRed +14
14Cage & park0
14Total endgame0
Penalties & totalRed +79
0Foul points0
200Total score121

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
69.60.8
67.868.6
Auto17.1
Teleop43.1
End9.3
red by 1.9
67.70.6
66.565.9
Auto14.4
Teleop42.9
End10.4
Second
62.70.8
60.961.7
Auto14.3
Teleop43.5
End4.9
blue by 1.0
63.60.6
62.461.8
Auto19.6
Teleop40.5
End3.6
Third
8119
#18
33.90.8
32.233.0
Auto3.9
Teleop27.9
End2.1
red by 16.5
4984
#39
17.40.6
16.215.6
Auto1.9
Teleop14.2
End1.3