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Red187
699558.5
741935.6
908453.6
Blue116
802045.2
441939.4
76651.0
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions150142100120160180200187116

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+21Auto
+73Teleop
+71Endgame
+71Fouls
AutonomousRed +21
0Leave0
9Coral scored#5
44Coral points23
44Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +52
25Coral scored#18
91Coral points63
3Processor algae#1
5Net algae#2
18Processor points6
20Net points8
38Algae points14
129Total teleop77
Reef
9L4#6
11L3#6
9L2#7
5L1 · trough#4
42Game pieces#26
BargeBlue +2
14Cage & park16
14Total endgame16
Penalties & totalRed +71
0Foul points0
187Total score116

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
58.51.0
57.158.1
Auto17.0
Teleop33.1
End8.4
red by 7.5
766
#15
51.00.5
51.551.0
Auto6.0
Teleop38.8
End6.2
Second
53.61.0
52.253.2
Auto17.6
Teleop33.9
End2.1
red by 8.4
45.20.5
45.645.2
Auto8.2
Teleop27.4
End9.5
Third
7419
#40
35.61.0
34.235.1
Auto6.0
Teleop28.3
End1.2
blue by 3.9
4419
#12
39.40.6
40.139.4
Auto4.2
Teleop32.0
End3.3