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Red176
473863.6
498417.4
312867.7
Blue173
699558.5
741935.6
908453.6
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions157156145150155160165170175176173

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+19
Endgame+3
+3Fouls
AutonomousBlue +7
6Leave3
8Coral scored#10
38Coral points48
44Total auto51
TeleoperatedBlue +12
24Coral scored#25
88Coral points90
1Processor algae#2
4Net algae#5
6Processor points12
16Net points20
22Algae points32
110Total teleop122
Reef
13L4#9
9L3#12
4L2#7
6L1 · trough#7
37Game pieces#42
BargeRed +16
16Cage & park0
16Total endgame0
Penalties & totalRed +3
6Foul points0
176Total score173

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
67.70.4
65.966.3
Auto14.4
Teleop42.9
End10.4
red by 9.2
58.50.4
58.158.5
Auto17.0
Teleop33.1
End8.4
Second
63.60.4
61.862.2
Auto19.6
Teleop40.5
End3.6
red by 10.1
53.60.4
53.253.6
Auto17.6
Teleop33.9
End2.1
Third
4984
#39
17.40.4
15.616.0
Auto1.9
Teleop14.2
End1.3
blue by 18.2
7419
#40
35.60.4
35.135.6
Auto6.0
Teleop28.3
End1.2