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Red205
325569.6
153862.7
811933.9
Blue129
427639.2
513736.1
364718.8
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1799350150200250205129

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+13Auto
+60Teleop
+70Endgame
+76Fouls
AutonomousRed +13
9Leave0
7Coral scored#6
35Coral points31
44Total auto31
TeleoperatedRed +47
28Coral scored#17
99Coral points60
2Processor algae#2
5Net algae#3
12Processor points12
20Net points12
32Algae points24
131Total teleop84
Reef
14L4#10
6L3#5
8L2#5
7L1 · trough#3
42Game pieces#28
BargeRed +10
24Cage & park14
24Total endgame14
Penalties & totalRed +76
6Foul points0
205Total score129

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
69.60.9
66.767.6
Auto17.1
Teleop43.1
End9.3
red by 30.4
4276
#14
39.20.8
39.039.8
Auto7.9
Teleop25.4
End5.8
Second
62.70.9
59.860.7
Auto14.3
Teleop43.5
End4.9
red by 26.6
5137
#11
36.10.8
35.936.7
Auto7.4
Teleop24.1
End4.6
Third
8119
#18
33.90.9
31.132.0
Auto3.9
Teleop27.9
End2.1
red by 15.1
3647
#23
18.80.8
18.719.4
Auto5.1
Teleop9.6
End4.1