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Red110
210246.3
374925.0
551428.2
Blue144
802045.2
441939.4
76651.0
9%Model gave it91%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10214850200110144

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
Teleop+12
Endgame+34
Fouls+34
AutonomousRed +14
0Leave9
5Coral scored#0
23Coral points0
23Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +26
16Coral scored#17
59Coral points61
2Processor algae#4
3Net algae#6
12Processor points24
12Net points24
24Algae points48
83Total teleop109
Reef
9L4#7
5L3#6
4L2#2
3L1 · trough#2
26Game pieces#27
BargeBlue +22
4Cage & park26
4Total endgame26
Penalties & totalBlue +34
0Foul points0
110Total score144

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2102
#24
46.30.2
46.847.0
Auto10.7
Teleop29.1
End6.5
blue by 4.8
766
#15
51.00.2
51.051.2
Auto6.0
Teleop38.8
End6.2
Second
5514
#17
28.20.2
28.829.0
Auto8.5
Teleop16.8
End2.9
blue by 16.9
45.20.2
45.145.3
Auto8.2
Teleop27.4
End9.5
Third
25.00.2
25.625.8
Auto5.8
Teleop15.1
End4.1
blue by 14.4
4419
#12
39.40.3
39.439.6
Auto4.2
Teleop32.0
End3.3