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Red170
802045.2
441939.4
76651.0
Blue160
248546.2
271040.3
889135.1
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14612350100200250170160

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+16
+4Endgame
+10Fouls
AutonomousBlue +7
3Leave0
5Coral scored#7
23Coral points33
26Total auto33
TeleoperatedBlue +9
22Coral scored#28
80Coral points99
3Processor algae#2
4Net algae#3
18Processor points12
16Net points12
34Algae points24
114Total teleop123
Reef
9L4#13
7L3#12
8L2#6
3L1 · trough#4
34Game pieces#40
BargeRed +20
24Cage & park4
24Total endgame4
Penalties & totalRed +10
6Foul points0
170Total score160

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
766
#15
51.00.6
50.851.5
Auto6.0
Teleop38.8
End6.2
red by 4.8
2485
#10
46.20.9
45.346.2
Auto11.0
Teleop31.5
End3.7
Second
45.20.6
45.045.6
Auto8.2
Teleop27.4
End9.5
red by 4.9
2710
#13
40.30.9
39.440.3
Auto8.5
Teleop25.5
End6.3
Third
4419
#12
39.40.9
39.240.1
Auto4.2
Teleop32.0
End3.3
red by 4.4
8891
#22
35.10.9
34.235.1
Auto5.0
Teleop26.1
End4.0