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Red180
473863.6
498417.4
312867.7
Blue160
699558.5
741935.6
908453.6
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15915180100120140180200220240180160

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+10
0Teleop0
+12Endgame
+20Fouls
AutonomousBlue +10
0Leave3
6Coral scored#7
30Coral points37
30Total auto40
TeleoperatedRed +10
29Coral scored#18
104Coral points66
2Processor algae#4
3Net algae#7
12Processor points24
12Net points28
24Algae points52
128Total teleop118
Reef
15L4#8
6L3#7
7L2#4
7L1 · trough#6
40Game pieces#36
BargeRed +12
14Cage & park2
14Total endgame2
Penalties & totalRed +20
8Foul points0
180Total score160

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
67.70.4
66.166.5
Auto14.4
Teleop42.9
End10.4
red by 9.2
58.50.2
56.756.9
Auto17.0
Teleop33.1
End8.4
Second
63.60.4
62.162.4
Auto19.6
Teleop40.5
End3.6
red by 10.1
53.60.2
51.852.0
Auto17.6
Teleop33.9
End2.1
Third
4984
#39
17.40.4
15.816.2
Auto1.9
Teleop14.2
End1.3
blue by 18.2
7419
#40
35.60.2
33.834.0
Auto6.0
Teleop28.3
End1.2