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Red169
325569.6
153862.7
811933.9
Blue122
802045.2
441939.4
76651.0
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions172140100120160180200220240169122

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+49Teleop
+47Endgame
+47Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
9Leave3
4Coral scored#4
21Coral points20
30Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +42
26Coral scored#15
93Coral points55
2Processor algae#2
5Net algae#4
12Processor points12
20Net points16
32Algae points28
125Total teleop83
Reef
7L4#8
10L3#5
8L2#2
5L1 · trough#4
37Game pieces#25
BargeBlue +2
14Cage & park16
14Total endgame16
Penalties & totalRed +47
0Foul points0
169Total score122

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
69.60.2
67.667.8
Auto17.1
Teleop43.1
End9.3
red by 18.6
766
#15
51.00.3
51.250.8
Auto6.0
Teleop38.8
End6.2
Second
62.70.2
60.760.9
Auto14.3
Teleop43.5
End4.9
red by 17.5
45.20.3
45.345.0
Auto8.2
Teleop27.4
End9.5
Third
8119
#18
33.90.2
32.032.2
Auto3.9
Teleop27.9
End2.1
blue by 5.5
4419
#12
39.40.4
39.639.2
Auto4.2
Teleop32.0
End3.3