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Red50
476534.6
885911.2
11437.5
Blue70
801629.5
145823.0
570027.8
33%Model gave it67%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions67802040601001201405070

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
Teleop+4
Endgame+16
Fouls+20
AutonomousRed +4
9Leave3
1Coral scored#1
4Coral points6
13Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +8
8Coral scored#9
27Coral points33
0Processor algae#1
2Net algae#1
0Processor points6
8Net points4
8Algae points10
35Total teleop43
Reef
3L4#4
2L3#3
2L2#2
2L1 · trough#1
11Game pieces#12
BargeBlue +12
2Cage & park14
2Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +20
0Foul points4
50Total score70

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
114
#11
37.50.8
30.429.6
Auto10.0
Teleop25.3
End2.2
red by 8.0
8016
#28
29.50.5
22.021.5
Auto4.0
Teleop23.7
End1.8
Second
4765
#21Sur
34.61.4
19.317.9
Auto5.2
Teleop27.6
End1.8
red by 6.8
5700
#26
27.80.3
21.721.3
Auto7.1
Teleop18.9
End1.8
Third
8859
#32
11.21.4
12.911.5
Auto2.4
Teleop7.8
End1.0
blue by 11.8
1458
#19
23.00.3
26.926.6
Auto5.9
Teleop15.5
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
40%Auto oddsMissed55%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed8%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
30%Barge oddsMissed17%Barge oddsEarned