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Red43
650614.8
1052357.2
490425.3
Blue45
543011.9
84134.0
801629.5
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions59800501001504345

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
Teleop+6
Endgame+2
Fouls+2
AutonomousBlue +3
0Leave0
1Coral scored#1
3Coral points6
3Total auto6
TeleoperatedBlue +3
6Coral scored#8
22Coral points29
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#1
6Processor points6
8Net points4
14Algae points10
36Total teleop39
Reef
3L4#4
2L3#2
1L2#2
1L1 · trough#1
10Game pieces#11
BargeRed +4
4Cage & park0
4Total endgame0
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +2
0Foul points0
43Total score45

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
57.22.6
27.324.7
Auto11.1
Teleop40.6
End5.5
red by 23.1
841
#24
34.03.5
33.229.7
Auto4.9
Teleop25.1
End4.1
Second
4904
#14
25.31.5
19.918.4
Auto6.5
Teleop17.0
End1.8
blue by 4.2
8016
#28
29.53.5
21.518.0
Auto4.0
Teleop23.7
End1.8
Third
6506
#41
14.81.5
10.48.8
Auto2.9
Teleop9.0
End3.0
red by 2.9
5430
#36
11.93.5
15.912.4
Auto1.2
Teleop8.7
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
31%Auto oddsMissed18%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
12%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
24%Barge oddsMissed40%Barge oddsMissed