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Red133
603660.6
11437.5
1006412.3
Blue90
476534.6
903840.1
466923.2
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1078320406012014016018013390

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+18Auto
+61Teleop
+59Endgame
+43Fouls
AutonomousRed +18
0Leave9
7Coral scored#2
37Coral points10
37Total auto19
TeleoperatedRed +43
14Coral scored#11
50Coral points41
2Processor algae#1
8Net algae#1
12Processor points6
32Net points4
44Algae points10
94Total teleop51
Reef
8L4#6
6L3#2
4L2#3
3L1 · trough#2
31Game pieces#15
BargeBlue +2
2Cage & park4
2Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +43
0Foul points16
133Total score90

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
60.62.3
47.950.2
Auto18.1
Teleop41.5
End1.0
red by 20.5
9038
#16
40.11.1
34.833.6
Auto12.7
Teleop25.9
End1.5
Second
114
#11
37.52.3
29.631.9
Auto10.0
Teleop25.3
End2.2
red by 2.9
4765
#21
34.61.1
17.916.7
Auto5.2
Teleop27.6
End1.8
Third
12.32.6
12.415.0
Auto3.0
Teleop7.7
End1.6
blue by 10.9
4669
#25
23.21.1
22.921.8
Auto4.9
Teleop16.2
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
42%Auto oddsEarned18%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
26%Coral oddsMissed13%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
28%Barge oddsMissed35%Barge oddsMissed