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Red63
186829.2
255125.0
88408.6
Blue25
1039016.3
425522.1
885911.2
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions636730405080901006325

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
+26Teleop
+26Endgame
+38Fouls
AutonomousRed +3
6Leave3
0Coral scored#0
0Coral points0
6Total auto3
TeleoperatedRed +23
8Coral scored#3
27Coral points12
0Processor algae#0
2Net algae#0
0Processor points0
8Net points0
8Algae points0
35Total teleop12
Reef
3L4#1
2L3#1
2L2#1
1L1 · trough#0
10Game pieces#3
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +38
18Foul points6
63Total score25

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1868
#20
29.21.2
19.117.9
Auto6.6
Teleop20.0
End2.5
red by 7.0
4255
#35
22.14.7
29.024.3
Auto5.1
Teleop14.7
End2.4
Second
2551
#31
25.01.9
24.522.6
Auto4.1
Teleop18.3
End2.6
red by 8.7
16.32.8
15.012.1
Auto3.1
Teleop9.2
End4.1
Third
8840
#37
8.61.9
13.611.7
Auto2.6
Teleop3.0
End3.0
blue by 2.6
8859
#32
11.24.7
11.56.8
Auto2.4
Teleop7.8
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
41%Auto oddsMissed40%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed9%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
17%Barge oddsMissed23%Barge oddsMissed