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Red114
885246.5
766731.8
1028122.1
Blue96
145823.0
1052357.2
592423.7
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8172020030040011496

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
+26Teleop
+12Endgame
+18Fouls
AutonomousRed +3
3Leave9
5Coral scored#3
23Coral points14
26Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +23
16Coral scored#11
58Coral points39
1Processor algae#1
4Net algae#3
6Processor points6
16Net points12
22Algae points18
80Total teleop57
Reef
9L4#6
7L3#3
3L2#4
2L1 · trough#1
26Game pieces#18
BargeBlue +14
2Cage & park16
2Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +18
6Foul points0
114Total score96

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
46.54.2
36.740.9
Auto10.6
Teleop34.1
End1.8
blue by 10.6
57.23.3
24.728.1
Auto11.1
Teleop40.6
End5.5
Second
7667
#15
31.84.2
23.727.9
Auto5.7
Teleop24.4
End1.6
red by 8.0
5924
#17
23.72.0
14.616.6
Auto4.9
Teleop14.5
End4.3
Third
22.14.2
9.814.0
Auto5.2
Teleop14.3
End2.6
blue by 0.9
1458
#19
23.02.0
26.628.6
Auto5.9
Teleop15.5
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
40%Auto oddsEarned44%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
23%Coral oddsMissed10%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
25%Barge oddsEarned43%Barge oddsEarned