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Red107
763632.3
682215.1
415941.0
Blue71
128014.6
497319.3
84134.0
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions746105010015020010771

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
+32Teleop
+30Endgame
+36Fouls
AutonomousRed +3
9Leave9
1Coral scored#0
3Coral points0
12Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +29
18Coral scored#12
65Coral points44
1Processor algae#1
4Net algae#2
6Processor points6
16Net points8
22Algae points14
87Total teleop58
Reef
5L4#3
7L3#5
3L2#2
4L1 · trough#2
24Game pieces#15
BargeBlue +2
2Cage & park4
2Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +36
6Foul points0
107Total score71

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
41.01.7
33.635.3
Auto10.4
Teleop28.0
End2.6
red by 6.9
841
#24
34.00.8
29.730.4
Auto4.9
Teleop25.1
End4.1
Second
32.31.7
17.419.1
Auto6.0
Teleop24.5
End1.7
red by 13.0
4973
#38
19.30.8
17.418.2
Auto4.0
Teleop14.3
End1.0
Third
6822
#40
15.12.8
13.316.1
Auto4.3
Teleop10.9
End-0.1
red by 0.4
1280
#27
14.60.5
5.86.3
Auto3.0
Teleop10.5
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
36%Auto oddsEarned22%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
15%Barge oddsMissed8%Barge oddsMissed