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Red115
490425.3
145823.0
84041.4
Blue114
1052357.2
476534.6
186829.2
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9567050150200115114

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
Teleop+13
Endgame+1
+1Fouls
AutonomousBlue +3
9Leave6
1Coral scored#3
7Coral points13
16Total auto19
TeleoperatedBlue +10
13Coral scored#13
47Coral points47
3Processor algae#4
4Net algae#5
18Processor points24
16Net points20
34Algae points44
81Total teleop91
Reef
4L4#4
5L3#5
2L2#3
3L1 · trough#4
21Game pieces#25
BargeRed +12
16Cage & park4
16Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +1
2Foul points0
115Total score114

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
840
#3
41.41.7
37.539.3
Auto4.0
Teleop29.4
End8.0
blue by 15.7
57.25.4
28.133.4
Auto11.1
Teleop40.6
End5.5
Second
4904
#14
25.31.7
18.420.1
Auto6.5
Teleop17.0
End1.8
blue by 9.3
4765
#21
34.65.4
16.722.1
Auto5.2
Teleop27.6
End1.8
Third
1458
#19
23.01.7
28.630.3
Auto5.9
Teleop15.5
End1.5
blue by 6.2
1868
#20
29.23.2
17.921.2
Auto6.6
Teleop20.0
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
62%Auto oddsEarned35%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
21%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
26%Barge oddsEarned30%Barge oddsMissed