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Red133
415941.0
801629.5
903840.1
Blue119
1039016.3
1028122.1
397057.8
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10064050150200250133119

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+1
+16Teleop
+6Endgame
+14Fouls
AutonomousBlue +1
0Leave3
6Coral scored#6
32Coral points30
32Total auto33
TeleoperatedRed +17
14Coral scored#12
51Coral points42
1Processor algae#1
5Net algae#3
6Processor points6
20Net points12
26Algae points18
77Total teleop60
Reef
7L4#8
5L3#5
5L2#3
3L1 · trough#2
26Game pieces#22
BargeBlue +10
16Cage & park26
16Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +14
8Foul points0
133Total score119

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
41.02.5
35.337.8
Auto10.4
Teleop28.0
End2.6
blue by 16.9
57.83.9
34.938.8
Auto13.7
Teleop37.7
End6.4
Second
9038
#16
40.14.2
33.637.9
Auto12.7
Teleop25.9
End1.5
red by 18.1
22.16.4
14.020.4
Auto5.2
Teleop14.3
End2.6
Third
8016
#28
29.54.2
18.022.2
Auto4.0
Teleop23.7
End1.8
red by 13.2
16.33.9
12.116.0
Auto3.1
Teleop9.2
End4.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
51%Auto oddsEarned44%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
10%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
38%Barge oddsEarned24%Barge oddsEarned