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Red101
1006412.3
885246.5
570027.8
Blue54
510434.2
543011.9
682215.1
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions936802040608012014010154

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+17Auto
+41Teleop
+39Endgame
+47Fouls
AutonomousRed +17
9Leave3
4Coral scored#2
21Coral points10
30Total auto13
TeleoperatedRed +24
10Coral scored#7
35Coral points25
2Processor algae#1
2Net algae#0
12Processor points6
8Net points0
20Algae points6
55Total teleop31
Reef
5L4#2
4L3#3
2L2#2
3L1 · trough#2
18Game pieces#10
BargeBlue +2
2Cage & park4
2Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +47
14Foul points6
101Total score54

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
46.51.0
40.941.9
Auto10.6
Teleop34.1
End1.8
red by 12.3
5104
#12
34.20.8
31.831.0
Auto6.9
Teleop20.6
End6.7
Second
5700
#26
27.80.6
21.722.4
Auto7.1
Teleop18.9
End1.8
red by 12.7
6822
#40
15.11.4
16.114.7
Auto4.3
Teleop10.9
End-0.1
Third
12.30.6
15.015.6
Auto3.0
Teleop7.7
End1.6
red by 0.4
5430
#36
11.91.4
12.411.0
Auto1.2
Teleop8.7
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
33%Auto oddsEarned24%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed8%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
25%Barge oddsMissed52%Barge oddsMissed